Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.728202 4.300935 4.929143 5.668914 6.515852 7.454837 8.574533
2025-01-19 2.750820 3.456550 4.295582 5.365174 6.691095 8.279538 10.325951
2025-01-26 2.307427 3.122581 4.161649 5.579933 7.462202 9.871237 13.185681
2025-02-02 2.037311 2.944932 4.175596 5.959968 8.474531 11.884688 16.853718
2025-02-09 1.751441 2.688366 4.032094 6.089923 9.151148 13.524470 20.233387
2025-02-16 1.512237 2.452532 3.872106 6.157270 9.728097 15.075690 23.669499
2025-02-23 1.271606 2.171133 3.595724 5.997869 9.926672 16.072408 26.381415
2025-03-02 1.055717 1.891826 3.276776 5.715713 9.878132 16.658698 28.494343
2025-03-09 0.935083 1.751980 3.162120 5.746329 10.331789 18.082965 32.112130
2025-03-16 0.807304 1.578646 2.963840 5.600870 10.457053 18.959823 34.888057
2025-03-23 0.763669 1.552585 3.021159 5.915170 11.426664 21.388248 40.636961
2025-03-30 0.712704 1.504215 3.029307 6.135811 12.245055 23.626690 46.278525
2025-04-06 0.640073 1.404846 2.932441 6.153244 12.702394 25.293338 51.130646
2025-04-13 0.543247 1.240522 2.684897 5.838062 12.468855 25.625724 53.465549
2025-04-20 0.511235 1.210304 2.707078 6.079423 13.390242 28.316205 60.785744
2025-04-27 0.496573 1.216410 2.806543 6.497495 14.731481 31.998791 70.549635
2025-05-04 0.461218 1.169199 2.782892 6.641838 15.500486 34.580946 78.295684
2025-05-11 0.424706 1.113405 2.731973 6.716881 16.123415 36.917681 85.770995
2025-05-18 0.376579 1.021214 2.583639 6.544457 16.159290 37.974476 90.529783
2025-05-25 0.326885 0.916785 2.390959 6.237946 15.838421 38.188130 93.381462
2025-06-01 0.301437 0.872151 2.339269 6.271598 16.338315 40.333823 100.954798
2025-06-08 0.269246 0.803973 2.218445 6.113443 16.344060 41.317235 105.867442
2025-06-15 0.263137 0.808029 2.286369 6.455685 17.658183 45.583504 119.233317